Posts

Showing posts from March, 2023

When the district champion isn't rated tops in the district?

Image
  When is the district champion not rated top in the district? Well, I had an inquiry from Kevin White about Kirksville, who won the class four district eight title, beating Mexico and Hallsville.  Macon, my top team in district eight, was eliminated by Hallsville in the first round.  So Kevin, posted " It’s funny that Kirksville is the 4th ranked team out of District 8, yet were District Champs and beat all three teams in the district ranked ahead of them, two on their home floors".   Yeah, Kevin, it is funny but not in the way you think.  I rate teams on the entire season and so I don't always look at who won the district.  Sometimes a team comes out of the blue to win and it is really hard to rate them over teams that were more consistent all season.  When the teams are close, I might use what I call a weighted rating and put more stock in the district wins than the regular season. So let's look at the four teams Kevin is talking about.  I took...

Missouri Boys Basketball Tournament Ratings

Image
 I posted the Missouri girls' classes one through three HERE. Time for the Missouri boys classes one through three prognostications. Updated 3/3/2023 10:00pm The results are in for boys classess one through three.  Gramps predicted 75% of these tough to call quarterfinals where the competition is much closer than district games. In class three, all of the higher ranked teams won and the actual spread were not that bad. In class two, Principia upset Cooter but I thought that might happen.  The other games went to form. In class one, I missed on two closely rated games.  Platte Valley took down #1 ranked Green City by six and Glasgow "upset Atlanta by nine. Class Three: coming soon.  Headed to game and will finish later. Class Two:  Class two has some great balance.  Except for #24 ranked Clopton, all of the teams are in my top 20.  In the top bracket, Cooter faces Principia and always dangerous duo of Jaylen Edwards and Stephen Okoro.  Cooter ...

Missouri Girls' State Tournament Quarterfinals

Image
Updated 3/7/2023  Last night was class five and six Missouri girls' district finals.   I took in the Eureka game with my lovely, oldest daughter. Gramps hit on all cylinders, getting eight out of eight right in class six, was seven out of eight in class five and six out of eight in the class four sectionals.  That adds up to 21 out of 24 for the night (87.5%).  For the post-season, Gramps has predicted 83% of 991 total games for boys and girls, all classes.  The tables for class six, five and four are below the Winning Percentage summary: Class six:  All of my top-ranked teams won their district titles, however, the #1 seeds in districts five and seven both lost to lower-seeded teams (not the way I would have seeded either district).  Do I need to repeat that?  All of my top-ranked teams won.  Maybe it is time to rethink how the seeding process is done? Going forward, the winner of the Jackson/Eureka game will play the winner of districts sev...